Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 1.767742e-05 2.152943e-05 0.000026 0.000031 0.000036 0.000042 0.000049
2025-07-20 1.272289e-05 1.756554e-05 0.000023 0.000031 0.000039 0.000049 0.000061
2025-07-27 9.738223e-06 1.503786e-05 0.000022 0.000031 0.000042 0.000056 0.000073
2025-08-03 8.389633e-06 1.420826e-05 0.000022 0.000033 0.000047 0.000065 0.000087
2025-08-10 6.548520e-06 1.230272e-05 0.000021 0.000032 0.000049 0.000069 0.000097
2025-08-17 4.718446e-06 1.000695e-05 0.000018 0.000030 0.000048 0.000071 0.000102
2025-08-24 3.483644e-06 8.358294e-06 0.000016 0.000029 0.000048 0.000073 0.000108
2025-08-31 2.726320e-06 7.345083e-06 0.000015 0.000029 0.000049 0.000077 0.000116
2025-09-07 2.058236e-06 6.317671e-06 0.000014 0.000028 0.000049 0.000079 0.000122
2025-09-14 1.468765e-06 5.262439e-06 0.000013 0.000027 0.000049 0.000080 0.000127
2025-09-21 1.034368e-06 4.392354e-06 0.000012 0.000026 0.000048 0.000082 0.000131
2025-09-28 6.742217e-07 3.535749e-06 0.000010 0.000024 0.000047 0.000082 0.000134
2025-10-05 4.240143e-07 2.892747e-06 0.000009 0.000023 0.000048 0.000085 0.000142
2025-10-12 2.711429e-07 2.445954e-06 0.000009 0.000023 0.000049 0.000089 0.000152
2025-10-19 1.758131e-07 2.125143e-06 0.000008 0.000023 0.000051 0.000095 0.000164
2025-10-26 1.483696e-07 2.119138e-06 0.000009 0.000025 0.000056 0.000104 0.000182
2025-11-02 8.295319e-08 1.773889e-06 0.000008 0.000025 0.000057 0.000109 0.000192
2025-11-09 2.940948e-08 1.304925e-06 0.000007 0.000023 0.000055 0.000109 0.000196
2025-11-16 8.541142e-09 9.880468e-07 0.000006 0.000022 0.000055 0.000110 0.000201
2025-11-23 2.294211e-09 8.100488e-07 0.000006 0.000022 0.000055 0.000114 0.000211
2025-11-30 1.826628e-10 6.296419e-07 0.000005 0.000021 0.000056 0.000116 0.000218
2025-12-07 NaN 4.523545e-07 0.000005 0.000020 0.000055 0.000117 0.000223
2025-12-14 NaN 3.198428e-07 0.000004 0.000019 0.000054 0.000118 0.000229